Beef + Lamb New Zealand’s latest stock number survey shows that the 2015–16 year has been an exceptionally trying farming season, with facial eczema in the North Island and widespread climatic challenges in other parts of the country – particularly North Canterbury.
Beef + Lamb New Zealand Chief Operating Officer, Cros Spooner, says the 2.8 per cent increase in beef cattle numbers follows a 3.3 per cent decline in the 2014–15 season.
The largest contributor to the increase in cattle numbers was a lift in weaner cattle across many regions, up 8.2 per cent as farmers responded to good returns. The exception to the increased weaner numbers trend was on the East Coast of the North Island, which experienced dry weather conditions, Spooner said.
“There was a continuing decline in the beef breeding herd, down by 1.6 per cent, and this reflects the trend to more flexible cattle systems. This reinforces the need for better integration with the dairy industry – particularly with genetics, which is a key area of focus for Beef + Lamb New Zealand."
Spooner says breeding ewe numbers fell across all regions of New Zealand. They were down by 3.1 per cent overall – but the largest drop was in Marlborough and Canterbury (-6.5%) due to the ongoing drought conditions.
“North Island ewe numbers decreased 2.9 per cent to 9.0 million, with drought conditions and facial eczema a significant cause. South Island numbers dropped 3.3 per cent to 9.5 million, also affected significantly by drought. Reducing capital stock numbers is often the least preferred option for farmers, so it does reflect a very challenging year.”
Spooner says the national hogget flock is also down on last year.
“Hogget numbers decreased 3.0 per cent to 8.9 million, but the fall was most dramatic in the North Island – down 6.9 per cent. On the East Coast, some of the decrease was driven by a reduced lambing percentage in spring 2015 and the influence of dry conditions, forcing destocking in autumn 2016. In Taranaki–Manawatu, lambs were finished earlier in response to the conditions, leading to fewer head on hand at season close. Marlborough and Canterbury hogget numbers increased by 4.8 per cent, with higher numbers of bought-in trade hoggets held at season end.
“Ewe condition and scanning results have been variable across New Zealand and the lamb crop is expected to be down by 2.9 per cent, to 23.3 million – 0.7 million fewer than last season. This is the result of several factors, including fewer breeding ewes and higher empty rates, which will reduce lambs born to ewes mated.”
Spooner said many farmers would want to have more stock on hand at this time of year – however, a combination of dairy farmers rearing more replacements themselves (normally grazed on sheep and beef farms), climatic conditions that have led to early sales of stock, lower pasture covers in some regions and in some cases a shortage of available replacement stock, are all factors. The challenge for farmers will be maximising the performance of animals on hand and secondly, as farming conditions allow, finding profitable stock classes to restock with.
Beef + Lamb New Zealand will be working with its regionally based Farmer Council to provide relevant information to assist farmers with these decisions. This includes a significant focus on proactively managing the ongoing impact of last season’s facial eczema outbreak.
About the Stock Number Survey
Beef + Lamb New Zealand’s Economic Service carries out a stock number survey annually. The latest survey figures are for the year to 30 June 2016.
Beef + Lamb New Zealand’s Economic Service is recognised as the best source of statistical information for the New Zealand sheep and beef sector.
Read the full report
For more information, please contact Beef + Lamb New Zealand Chief Operating Officer Cros Spooner on 027 478 5576.